PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

CF Montréal vs Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.192.04
Expected goals
1.361.36
Shots
12.712
Possession
48.5%53.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Montréal favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 9 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Montréal26 matchesNashville SC26 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 2.04 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.36 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target26/264.69 shots/match
48.5%Possession26/26● 53.7%
5.04 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.15 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/51.8 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CF Montréal
2Draws
3Nashville SC
Nashville SC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer1–0
CF Montréal — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–1
Nashville SC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer3–0
CF Montréal — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–0
Nashville SC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCF MontréalNashville SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headCF Montréal — Nashville SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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