PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

CF Montréal vs Atlanta United · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.241.16
Expected goals
1.41.42
Shots
12.913
Possession
48.3%51.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CF Montréal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CF Montréal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montréal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Montréal favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Atlanta United in 3 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Montréal25 matchesAtlanta United25 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.16 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.72 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.42 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots25/2513 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.88 shots/match
48.3%Possession25/25● 51.2%
5.04 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.08 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/62.67 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CF Montréal
2Draws
2Atlanta United
Atlanta United — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer3–1
CF Montréal — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer1–1
Atlanta United — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer3–2
CF Montréal — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–2
Atlanta United — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCF MontréalAtlanta United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headCF Montréal — Atlanta United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required