PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

St.Louis City vs LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.731.26
Expected goals
1.681.39
Shots
13.812.9
Possession
52.1%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: st.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

St.Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: St.Louis City favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

St.Louis City26 matchesLA Galaxy27 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/271.26 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.56 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/241.39 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2712.9 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 5.15 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession26/2749.2%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners26/275.3 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/92.89 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2710.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3St.Louis City
2Draws
0LA Galaxy
LA Galaxy — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer1–3
St.Louis City — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer3–3
LA Galaxy — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer0–3
St.Louis City — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer2–1
LA Galaxy — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSt.Louis CityLA Galaxy
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSt.Louis City — LA Galaxy
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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