New York City FC
Major League Soccer · 2026New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
New York Red Bulls won 0–1.
- Shots
- 16–10
- Shots on target
- 4–1
- Expected goals
- 2.42–1.4
- Possession
- 63%–37%
Full time
What the match recorded
New York Red Bulls beat New York City FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (New York City FC – New York Red Bulls): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.42–1.4, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season
moderateNew York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 1.31 goals/match | 1.56 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
New York City FC have a visible home split
moderateNew York City FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.8 shots/match | 11.6 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for New York City FC, New York Red Bulls.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 5.92 days | 6 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 6′Adri MehmetiYellow card · New York Red Bulls
- 22′Cade CowellYellow card · New York Red Bulls
- 30′Nico CavalloYellow card · New York City FC
- 40′Mohammed SofoYellow card · New York Red Bulls
- Half-time
- 55′Aiden O'NeillYellow card · New York City FC
- 57′Julian HallGoal · New York Red Bulls
- Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
- 62′New York Red Bulls · 1 player changeDevin Padelford
- 62′New York City FC · 2 player changesAlonso Martínez · Bénie Traoré
- 75′New York City FC · 1 player changeMalachi Jones
- 84′New York Red Bulls · 3 player changesJorge Ruvalcaba · Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting · David Ruíz
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.
- Matthew FreeseG
- Nico CavalloD
- James SandsD
- Thiago MartinsD
- Tayvon GrayD
- Nicolás FernándezM
- Andrés PereaM
- Jonathan ShoreM
- Hannes WolfF
- Luighi HanriF
- Agustin OjedaF
- Ethan HorvathG
- Justin CheD
- Dylan NealisD
- Julián BazánD
- Devin PadelfordD
- David Ruiz MonteroM
- Emil ForsbergM
- Mohammed SofoM
- Cade CowellF
- Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingF
- Dennis NelichF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: New York City FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
New York City FC / New York Red Bulls
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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