PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Orlando City SC 1–0 San Diego FC · Major League Soccer

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Orlando City SC won 1–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.270.5
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Orlando City SC beat San Diego FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Orlando City SC – San Diego FC): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.27–0.5, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Diego FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

San Diego FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsOrlando City SC · San Diego FC11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOrlando City SCSan Diego FCBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.6%PossessionOrlando City SC · San Diego FC● 60.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOrlando City SCSan Diego FCBaseline
Possession47.6%60.4%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsOrlando City SC 15 shots, San Diego FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsOrlando City SC 5 shots, San Diego FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG0.5 xGOrlando City SC 2.27 xG, San Diego FC 0.5 xG
  • Possession47%53%Orlando City SC 47%, San Diego FC 53%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersOrlando City SC 6 corners, San Diego FC 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsOrlando City SC 11 fouls, San Diego FC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsOrlando City SC 3 cards, San Diego FC 2 cards
  • Passes481 passes552 passesOrlando City SC 481 passes, San Diego FC 552 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.1%90.8%Orlando City SC 87.1%, San Diego FC 90.8%
  • Shots inside box12 shots2 shotsOrlando City SC 12 shots, San Diego FC 2 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockOrlando City SC 6 blocks, San Diego FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesOrlando City SC 2 saves, San Diego FC 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesOrlando City SC 0 offsides, San Diego FC 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Antoine GriezmannGoal · Orlando City SC
  2. Half-time
  3. 84′David VazquezYellow card · San Diego FC
  4. 85′Luis OtávioYellow card · Orlando City SC
  5. 90′Kieran SargeantYellow card · San Diego FC
  6. 90′David BrekaloYellow card · Orlando City SC
  7. 90′Iván AnguloYellow card · Orlando City SC
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 51′Orlando City SC · 1 player changeMartín Ojeda
  • 62′San Diego FC · 3 player changesDagur Dan Þórhallsson · Christopher McVey · Amahl Pellegrino
  • 66′Orlando City SC · 2 player changesWilder Cartagena · Tyrese Spicer
  • 75′Orlando City SC · 2 player changesMarco Pašalić · Luis Otávio
  • 79′San Diego FC · 1 player changeDavid Vazquez
  • 90′San Diego FC · 1 player changeBryce Duke

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Orlando City SC4-4-2
  1. Maxime CrépeauG
  2. David BrekaloD
  3. Robin JanssonD
  4. Zakaria TaifiD
  5. Griffin DorseyD
  6. Eduard AtuestaM
  7. Justin EllisM
  8. Joran GerbetM
  9. Iván AnguloM
  10. Antoine GriezmannF
  11. Daryl DikeF
San Diego FC4-3-3
  1. CJ Dos SantosG
  2. Kieran SargeantD
  3. Manu DuahD
  4. Ian MurphyD
  5. Oscar VerhoevenD
  6. Gabriel PiraniM
  7. David VazquezM
  8. Aníbal GodoyM
  9. Onni ValakariF
  10. Anders DreyerF
  11. Elias AchouriF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orlando City SC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 8 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orlando City SC23 matchesSan Diego FC23 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.74 goals/match
2.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals19/201.41 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots22/2311.9 shots/match
4.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/234.43 shots/match
47.6%Possession22/23● 60.4%
3.95 corners/matchCorners22/23● 4.91 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/113.36 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOrlando City SCSan Diego FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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