Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew York City FCCharlotte
Shots23 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.47 xG/match0.93 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: New York City FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Charlotte have a visible away split

weak

Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.33 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.33 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New York City FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York City FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New York City FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/matchShotsNew York City FC · Charlotte10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew York City FCCharlotteBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Charlotte in 3 · 6 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.88 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.25 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.64 xG/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.4 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/810.8 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/815.6 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/85.38 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/86.38 shots/match
57.1%Possessionseason · 8/848.4%
4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84.25 corners/match
4.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/85.38 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.25 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/89.63 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC88.3
Charlotte45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC69.5
Charlotte51.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC53.3
Charlotte33.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC45
Charlotte21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC36.6
Charlotte30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC38.3
Charlotte30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC58.3
Charlotte30.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.64 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots5/59.8 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/545.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
Cards0/1
10 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.88 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.64 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots8/810.8 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/85.38 shots/match
57.1%Possession8/848.4%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/84.25 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/89.63 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.88 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.64 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots8/810.8 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/85.38 shots/match
57.1%Possession8/848.4%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/84.25 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/89.63 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 3 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/31 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/31.67 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals4/1
15.2 shots/matchShots5/36.33 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/33 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/340.3%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/32.33 corners/match
Cards1/2
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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