Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeAudi FieldFull-time recap
04Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDC UnitedFC Dallas
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.87 xG/match1.8 xG/match
Possession51%49%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: DC United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

DC United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/matchShotsDC United · FC Dallas13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDC UnitedFC DallasBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

DC United have a visible home split

weak

DC United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.7 fouls/matchFoulsDC United · FC Dallas14.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDC UnitedFC DallasBaseline
Fouls14.7 fouls/match14.2 fouls/match12.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 6 · 7 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/62.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.5 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.97 xG/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.53 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/613.3 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/69 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/65.33 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/63.83 shots/match
40.7%Possessionseason · 6/645%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.33 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/64.67 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/614.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7
FC Dallas28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United6.7
FC Dallas74.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United53.3
FC Dallas72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United45
FC Dallas88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United65
FC Dallas60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United38.3
FC Dallas31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United35.4
FC Dallas60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.97 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
39%Possession5/545%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards2/32.33 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.97 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots6/613.3 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target6/65.33 shots/match
40.7%Possession6/645%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/42 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.97 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots6/613.3 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target6/65.33 shots/match
40.7%Possession6/645%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/42 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
Expected goals1/1
11.3 shots/matchShots3/2
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2
45.3%Possession3/2
5 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards2/1
16.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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