PitchMath
Premier League · 2025VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow 2–0 Orenburg · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 2–0.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
66
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat FC Orenburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – FC Orenburg): shots 13–17, shots on target 6–6, possession 62%–38%, corners 5–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · FC Orenburg11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowFC OrenburgBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersCSKA Moscow · FC Orenburg● 5.35 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowFC OrenburgBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5.35 corners/match4.46 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsCSKA Moscow 13 shots, Orenburg 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsCSKA Moscow 6 shots, Orenburg 6 shots
  • Possession62%38%CSKA Moscow 62%, Orenburg 38%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersCSKA Moscow 5 corners, Orenburg 10 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsCSKA Moscow 11 fouls, Orenburg 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCSKA Moscow 2 cards, Orenburg 2 cards
  • Passes547 passes324 passesCSKA Moscow 547 passes, Orenburg 324 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%75%CSKA Moscow 86%, Orenburg 75%
  • Shots inside box10 shots7 shotsCSKA Moscow 10 shots, Orenburg 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksCSKA Moscow 4 blocks, Orenburg 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves5 savesCSKA Moscow 6 saves, Orenburg 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesCSKA Moscow 3 offsides, Orenburg 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CSKA Moscow
3Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–2
CSKA Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League5–1
CSKA Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow17 matchesOrenburg17 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171 goal/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.65 goals/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots17/1711.2 shots/match
4.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.88 shots/match
56% ●Possession17/1748.8%
5 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.35 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards17/172.47 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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