PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Rostec Arena

Baltika Kaliningrad 1–0 FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 1–0.

Shots
919
Shots on target
35
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika beat Spartak Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (Baltika – Spartak Moscow): shots 9–19, shots on target 3–5, possession 26%–74%, corners 3–13. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Baltika's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Spartak Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionBaltika · Spartak Moscow● 61.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBaltikaSpartak MoscowBaseline
Possession45%61.6%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

20.1 fouls/matchFoulsBaltika · Spartak Moscow15.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBaltikaSpartak MoscowBaseline
Fouls20.1 fouls/match15.9 fouls/match14.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots19 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 9 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 3 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 5 shots
  • Possession26%74%Baltika Kaliningrad 26%, FC Spartak Moscow 74%
  • Corners3 corners13 cornersBaltika Kaliningrad 3 corners, FC Spartak Moscow 13 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsBaltika Kaliningrad 12 fouls, FC Spartak Moscow 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsBaltika Kaliningrad 2 cards, FC Spartak Moscow 2 cards
  • Passes196 passes568 passesBaltika Kaliningrad 196 passes, FC Spartak Moscow 568 passes
  • Pass accuracy55%84%Baltika Kaliningrad 55%, FC Spartak Moscow 84%
  • Shots inside box7 shots11 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 7 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 11 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks7 blocksBaltika Kaliningrad 4 blocks, FC Spartak Moscow 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesBaltika Kaliningrad 4 saves, FC Spartak Moscow 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideBaltika Kaliningrad 1 offside, FC Spartak Moscow 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Baltika Kaliningrad
0Draws
2FC Spartak Moscow
FC Spartak Moscow — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League0–3
Baltika Kaliningrad — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League0–2
FC Spartak Moscow — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Spartak Moscow in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad17 matchesFC Spartak Moscow17 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
0.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.29 goals/match
12.2 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on target17/174.18 shots/match
45%Possession17/17● 61.6%
3.41 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.41 corners/match
3.35 cards/matchCards17/172.41 cards/match
20.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1715.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradFC Spartak Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headBaltika Kaliningrad — FC Spartak Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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