PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Samara Arena

Akron Togliatti 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 1–2.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
66
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nizhny Novgorod beat Akron 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akron – Nizhny Novgorod): shots 13–16, shots on target 6–6, possession 56%–44%, corners 10–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.65 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAkron · Nizhny Novgorod11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAkronNizhny NovgorodBaseline
Shots11 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsAkron Togliatti 13 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsAkron Togliatti 6 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 6 shots
  • Possession56%44%Akron Togliatti 56%, Nizhny Novgorod 44%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersAkron Togliatti 10 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsAkron Togliatti 13 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAkron Togliatti 1 card, Nizhny Novgorod 2 cards
  • Passes311 passes262 passesAkron Togliatti 311 passes, Nizhny Novgorod 262 passes
  • Pass accuracy71%68%Akron Togliatti 71%, Nizhny Novgorod 68%
  • Shots inside box13 shots11 shotsAkron Togliatti 13 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 11 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksAkron Togliatti 4 blocks, Nizhny Novgorod 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesAkron Togliatti 3 saves, Nizhny Novgorod 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesAkron Togliatti 2 offsides, Nizhny Novgorod 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akron Togliatti
1Draws
1Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Akron Togliatti · Premier League0–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Akron Togliatti · Premier League2–1
Akron Togliatti — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti17 matchesNizhny Novgorod17 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.65 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.65 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots17/1711.3 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4 shots/match
44.4% ●Possession17/1743.5%
4.35 corners/match ●Corners17/174.18 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards17/172.65 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1717.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headAkron Togliatti — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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