PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Akhmat-Arena

Akhmat Grozny 1–0 Orenburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–0.

Shots
914
Shots on target
33
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat beat FC Orenburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akhmat – FC Orenburg): shots 9–14, shots on target 3–3, possession 51%–49%, corners 0–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsAkhmat Grozny 9 shots, Orenburg 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAkhmat Grozny 3 shots, Orenburg 3 shots
  • Possession51%49%Akhmat Grozny 51%, Orenburg 49%
  • Corners0 corners7 cornersAkhmat Grozny 0 corners, Orenburg 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls19 foulsAkhmat Grozny 12 fouls, Orenburg 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAkhmat Grozny 1 card, Orenburg 2 cards
  • Passes344 passes321 passesAkhmat Grozny 344 passes, Orenburg 321 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%74%Akhmat Grozny 75%, Orenburg 74%
  • Shots inside box4 shots7 shotsAkhmat Grozny 4 shots, Orenburg 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksAkhmat Grozny 1 block, Orenburg 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesAkhmat Grozny 3 saves, Orenburg 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAkhmat Grozny 2 offsides, Orenburg 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
2Draws
2Orenburg
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Russian Cup0–1
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–2
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Russian Cup2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Premier League1–0
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny18 matchesOrenburg18 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.94 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.61 goals/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target18/183.83 shots/match
46.8%Possession18/18● 48.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.44 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards18/182.44 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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