La Liga · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

DLLDL

0–1Full-time recap

Alaves

LWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Oviedo	Alaves
Shots	7 shots/match	7 shots/match
Shots on target	0 shots/match	1 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.34 xG/match	1.46 xG/match▲
Possession	70%	30%
Corners	5 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo, Alaves. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.7 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo, Alaves.

2.9 days▲Rest daysOviedo · Alaves3.9 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Oviedo	Alaves	Baseline
Rest days	2.9 days	3.9 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Oviedo

1Draws

0Alaves

4 Jan 2026Alaves — Oviedo · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 10 · 3 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲1.16 goals/match

1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.46 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/10▲1.25 xG/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/10▲0.98 xG/match

9.95 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲11.9 shots/match

14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲12.4 shots/match

3.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲3.84 shots/match

5.51 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/37▲3.97 shots/match

46.2%Possessionseason · 37/3748%

3.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/374.92 corners/match

5.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/37▲4.95 corners/match

2.64 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.59 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3715 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3714%

46%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo22.5

Alaves37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo7.5

Alaves38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo11.7

Alaves57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo12.5

Alaves52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo65

Alaves82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo22.5

Alaves62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo23.8

Alaves58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.08 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots5/59.8 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/537.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.25 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲12 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.5 shots/match

52.1%Possession10/1041.1%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

37 / 37 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲1.16 goals/match

1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.46 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲1.25 xG/match

9.95 shots/matchShots37/37▲11.9 shots/match

3.24 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲3.84 shots/match

46.2%Possession37/3748%

3.92 corners/matchCorners37/374.92 corners/match

2.64 cards/matchCards28/292.59 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3715 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches

0.47 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1 goals/match

0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.63 goals/match

0.68 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.6 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲11.4 shots/match

3.16 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲3.58 shots/match

49.5%Possession19/1947.1%

4.63 corners/matchCorners19/193.95 corners/match

2.47 cards/matchCards15/153 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1915.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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