PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Girona

LLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtletico MadridGirona
Shots17 shots/match25 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.94 xG/match2.18 xG/match▲
Possession47%53%
Corners9 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Girona. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Girona.

4.9 days▲Rest daysAtletico Madrid · Girona2.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtletico MadridGironaBaseline
Rest days4.9 days2.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atletico Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atletico Madrid
0Draws
0Girona
Girona — Atletico Madrid · La Liga0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 1 · 2 too close

1.65 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 37/371.03 goals/match
1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/371.46 goals/match
1.44 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/101.17 xG/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.33 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 37/3711.1 shots/match
11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 37/3714.8 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 37/374.03 shots/match
3.59 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/374.81 shots/match
53.4%Possessionseason · 37/3750.5%
6.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/374.22 corners/match
4.27 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/375.27 corners/match
2.28 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 32/272.56 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3710.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3716%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3773%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid77.5
Girona62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid80.8
Girona27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid80.8
Girona22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid47.5
Girona17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid30
Girona40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 87%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid90
Girona37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid68.1
Girona30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.56 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
49.2%Possession5/555.4%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
—Cards1/0—
10 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.9 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
48.8%Possession10/1052.5%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
4.6 cards/matchCards5/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

37 / 37 matches
1.65 goals/match▲Goals scored37/371.03 goals/match
1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/371.46 goals/match
1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots37/3711.1 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target37/374.03 shots/match
53.4%Possession37/3750.5%
6.41 corners/matchCorners37/374.22 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards32/272.56 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
2.05 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.95 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.47 goals/match
1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.98 xG/match
15.5 shots/match▲Shots19/1910.6 shots/match
6.26 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.11 shots/match
54.9%Possession19/1949.5%
7.79 corners/matchCorners19/193.53 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/142.43 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.96 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtletico MadridGirona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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