La Liga · 2025San Mamés

Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club and Celta Vigo drew 1–1.

Shots
273
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.490.15
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Celta Vigo): shots 27–3, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.49–0.15, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.4 shots/match10 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club.

4 days ▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Celta Vigo5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthletic ClubCelta VigoBaseline
Rest days4 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Celta Vigo10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubCelta VigoBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match10 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots3 shotsAthletic Club 27 shots, Celta Vigo 3 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsAthletic Club 9 shots, Celta Vigo 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.49 xG0.15 xGAthletic Club 2.49 xG, Celta Vigo 0.15 xG
  • Possession58%42%Athletic Club 58%, Celta Vigo 42%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersAthletic Club 5 corners, Celta Vigo 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsAthletic Club 14 fouls, Celta Vigo 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAthletic Club 2 cards, Celta Vigo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Unai Gómez · Athletic Club · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Serrano · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFer López · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 22′ · 0.08 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 5′ · 0.10 xG · goalUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedUrko Izeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 21′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Rego · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.31 xG · goalIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 54′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 27 shots, 9 on target, 2.83 xG. Celta Vigo: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 52′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 5′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 2.83 xG · Celta Vigo 0.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Athletic Club
0Draws
2Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club37 matchesCelta Vigo37 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.3 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots37/3710 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/374.05 shots/match
49.2%Possession37/37● 50.3%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners37/373.78 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards28/271.89 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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