PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante UD · La Liga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Levante UD won 2–3.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.181.52
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Levante beat Celta Vigo 3–2. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Levante): shots 11–14, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.18–1.52, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Levante's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Celta Vigo, Levante.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Levante3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoLevanteBaseline
Rest days3.02 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Levante have a visible away split

moderate

Levante's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsCelta Vigo 11 shots, Levante UD 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Levante UD 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG1.52 xGCelta Vigo 2.18 xG, Levante UD 1.52 xG
  • Possession57%43%Celta Vigo 57%, Levante UD 43%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersCelta Vigo 4 corners, Levante UD 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsCelta Vigo 7 fouls, Levante UD 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsCelta Vigo 0 cards, Levante UD 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kervin Arriaga · Levante · 43′ · 0.01 xG · goalAdrián de la Fuente · Levante · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKervin Arriaga · Levante · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIker Losada · Levante · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoger Brugué · Levante · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Levante · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrián de la Fuente · Levante · 57′ · 0.03 xG · goalHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKareem Tunde · Levante · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKervin Arriaga · Levante · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCarlos Espí · Levante · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 11′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRoger Brugué · Levante · 83′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 4′ · 0.16 xG · goalCarlos Espí · Levante · 63′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 84′ · 0.25 xG · on targetCarlos Espí · Levante · 19′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 3′ · 0.32 xG · on targetRoger Brugué · Levante · 63′ · 0.48 xG · goalFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.06 xG. Levante: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ferran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 4′Ferran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 48′Kervin Arriaga · Levante · 43′Adrián de la Fuente · Levante · 57′Roger Brugué · Levante · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.06 xG · Levante 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Celta Vigo
1Draws
0Levante UD
Levante UD — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–2
Celta Vigo — Levante UD · La Liga1–1
Levante UD — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Levante UD in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo36 matchesLevante UD36 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.22 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.64 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals36/361.33 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 12.4 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.81 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession36/3643.3%
3.89 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.17 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards27/312.42 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoLevante UD
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Levante UD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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