La Liga · 2025Tue, 12 May 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

DLWLL

1–2Full-time recap

Atletico Madrid

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Atletico Madrid
Shots	23 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.16 xG/match▲	1.64 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	8 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	6 cards/match	5 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atletico Madrid. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atletico Madrid.

4.02 days▲Rest daysOsasuna · Atletico Madrid3.12 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Osasuna	Atletico Madrid	Baseline
Rest days	4.02 days	3.12 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna

0Draws

1Atletico Madrid

18 Oct 2025Atletico Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Atletico Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲1.67 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.08 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.39 xG/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.55 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲13.1 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲11.1 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲5.11 shots/match

4.61 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/36▲3.39 shots/match

46.2%Possessionseason · 36/3653.5%

3.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/366.33 corners/match

4.97 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲4.17 corners/match

2.77 cards/matchCardsseason · 31/32▲2.28 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/36▲36%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5

Atletico Madrid77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna35.8

Atletico Madrid80.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna45

Atletico Madrid82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna57.5

Atletico Madrid42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna75

Atletico Madrid30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5

Atletico Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna33.8

Atletico Madrid67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.68 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

49.2%Possession5/545.4%

4 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/2—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.39 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots10/1012.9 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match

49.8%Possession10/1049.3%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match

3.6 cards/matchCards5/64 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches

1.19 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲1.67 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲1.08 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.39 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots36/36▲13.1 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲5.11 shots/match

46.2%Possession36/3653.5%

3.56 corners/matchCorners36/366.33 corners/match

2.77 cards/matchCards31/322.28 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match

1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.22 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1810.8 shots/match

5.11 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.83 shots/match

48.3%Possession18/1851.7%

4.22 corners/matchCorners18/184.94 corners/match

2.64 cards/matchCards14/162.44 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 May 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Osasuna have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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