PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 2–0 Real Oviedo · La Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–0.

Shots
199
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.361.04
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Oviedo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Oviedo): shots 19–9, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.36–1.04, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.72 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Oviedo10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridOviedoBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match10.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.1% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Oviedo45.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridOviedoBaseline
Possession59.1%45.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsReal Madrid 19 shots, Real Oviedo 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotReal Madrid 7 shots, Real Oviedo 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.04 xGReal Madrid 1.36 xG, Real Oviedo 1.04 xG
  • Possession65%35%Real Madrid 65%, Real Oviedo 35%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersReal Madrid 4 corners, Real Oviedo 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsReal Madrid 7 fouls, Real Oviedo 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Haissem Hassan · Oviedo · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Colombatto · Oviedo · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHaissem Hassan · Oviedo · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranco Mastantuono · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.13 xG · goalAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.15 xG · goalFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNacho Vidal · Oviedo · 38′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Carreras · Real Madrid · 58′ · 0.23 xG · on targetFranco Mastantuono · Real Madrid · 6′ · 0.25 xG · on targetNacho Vidal · Oviedo · 63′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.41 xG. Oviedo: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gonzalo García · Real Madrid · 44′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.41 xG · Oviedo 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
0Draws
0Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid36 matchesReal Oviedo36 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.72 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.56 goals/match
2.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/360.96 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots36/3610.1 shots/match
6.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.31 shots/match
59.1% ●Possession36/3645.5%
6.47 corners/match ●Corners36/363.89 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards28/292.62 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridReal Oviedo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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