La Liga · 2025Wed, 13 May 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

DLWLD
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlavesBarcelona
Shots9 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals0.66 xG/match0.59 xG/match
Possession23%77%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.53 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona.

4.31 daysRest daysAlaves · Barcelona3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAlavesBarcelonaBaseline
Rest days4.31 days3.02 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/matchShotsAlaves · Barcelona18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlavesBarcelonaBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match18.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match8.92 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Alaves
0Draws
1Barcelona
BarcelonaAlaves · La Liga31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11 · 3 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/362.53 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/360.89 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.73 xG/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.02 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/3618.5 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/368.92 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/366.78 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/363.44 shots/match
48.5%Possessionseason · 36/3668.8%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/366.89 corners/match
4.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/364.36 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/281.71 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/369.58 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3642%
72%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3697%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves42.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves43.3
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves50.8
Barcelona94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves57.5
Barcelona67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves82.5
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves62.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves61.9
Barcelona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
39%Possession5/568%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.73 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots10/1013.1 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
42%Possession10/1067.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/2
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored36/362.53 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed36/360.89 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.73 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots36/3618.5 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target36/366.78 shots/match
48.5%Possession36/3668.8%
5 corners/matchCorners36/366.89 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCards29/281.71 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls36/369.58 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored18/182.06 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.46 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots18/1818.4 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target18/186.22 shots/match
49%Possession18/1869.6%
5.94 corners/matchCorners18/186.61 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards14/152.33 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls18/189.28 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.02 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 May 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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