La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 0–2 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 0–2.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
1.092.04
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Madrid beat Valencia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Atletico Madrid): shots 12–20, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 1.09–2.04, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atletico Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.12 corners/matchCornersValencia · Atletico Madrid● 6.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricValenciaAtletico MadridBaseline
Corners5.12 corners/match6.29 corners/match4.56 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsValencia 12 shots, Atlético Madrid 20 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsValencia 0 shots, Atlético Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG2.04 xGValencia 1.09 xG, Atlético Madrid 2.04 xG
  • Possession53%47%Valencia 53%, Atlético Madrid 47%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersValencia 1 corner, Atlético Madrid 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsValencia 9 fouls, Atlético Madrid 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsValencia 1 card, Atlético Madrid 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iker Luque · Atletico Madrid · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atletico Madrid · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNahuel Molina · Atletico Madrid · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Boñar · Atletico Madrid · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Valencia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atletico Madrid · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavi Morcillo · Atletico Madrid · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atletico Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedObed Vargas · Atletico Madrid · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedClément Lenglet · Atletico Madrid · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayane Belaid · Atletico Madrid · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atletico Madrid · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJavi Morcillo · Atletico Madrid · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedObed Vargas · Atletico Madrid · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIker Luque · Atletico Madrid · 74′ · 0.07 xG · goalUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atletico Madrid · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cubo · Atletico Madrid · 82′ · 0.10 xG · goalIker Luque · Atletico Madrid · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Atletico Madrid · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 69′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 89′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Valencia · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRayane Belaid · Atletico Madrid · 60′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mendoza · Atletico Madrid · 15′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 12 shots, 0 on target, 1.11 xG. Atletico Madrid: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Iker Luque · Atletico Madrid · 74′Miguel Cubo · Atletico Madrid · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.11 xG · Atletico Madrid 1.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
0Draws
4Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga2–1
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga2–0
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia34 matchesAtlético Madrid34 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 5.24 shots/match
48.4%Possession34/34● 53.8%
5.12 corners/matchCorners34/34● 6.29 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards27/312.16 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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