La Liga · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap

Valencia

LWLLD

2–1Full-time recap

Girona

WLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Girona
Shots	11 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.23 xG/match▲	1.1 xG/match
Possession	36%	64%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	21 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia, Girona. A second useful context is: Girona's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia, Girona.

3.98 days▲Rest daysValencia · Girona3.88 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Valencia	Girona	Baseline
Rest days	3.98 days	3.88 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.6 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Valencia

0Draws

1Girona

4 Oct 2025Girona — Valencia · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 1 · 5 too close

1.12 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.09 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.52 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.83 xG/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.46 xG/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 33/3310.2 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3315.1 shots/match

3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲3.79 shots/match

4.18 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/334.94 shots/match

48.1%Possessionseason · 33/3350.2%

5.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334 corners/match

4.52 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 33/335.21 corners/match

2.15 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/272.56 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3310.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3318%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3376%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia37.5

Girona52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia25.8

Girona21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia57.5

Girona20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia42.5

Girona7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia35

Girona40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia67.5

Girona37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia40

Girona23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.74 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots5/57.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/51.8 shots/match

40.4%Possession5/553%

5 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.83 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match

47.9%Possession10/1052%

5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls10/108.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches

1.12 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.09 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.52 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.83 xG/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots33/3310.2 shots/match

3.18 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲3.79 shots/match

48.1%Possession33/3350.2%

5.21 corners/matchCorners33/334 corners/match

2.15 cards/matchCards27/272.56 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored16/171 goals/match

1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.53 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.61 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots16/179.82 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target16/173.65 shots/match

50.2%Possession16/1749.8%

6.25 corners/matchCorners16/173.18 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Girona's recent record differs from the season

Valencia have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match