La Liga · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

WDDLW

2–4Full-time recap

Athletic Club

WLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Alaves	Athletic Club
Shots	7 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.49 xG/match	0.92 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.03 corners/match▲CornersAlaves · Athletic Club5.59 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Alaves	Athletic Club	Baseline
Corners	5.03 corners/match	5.59 corners/match	4.56 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Alaves

0Draws

0Athletic Club

13 Sept 2025Athletic Club — Alaves · La Liga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 6 · 6 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.18 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.47 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/70.93 xG/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.22 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲13.5 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲9.47 shots/match

3.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/34▲4.47 shots/match

4.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.21 shots/match

49.7%Possessionseason · 34/3449.2%

5.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/345.59 corners/match

4.91 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲3.85 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/282.54 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3413.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲18%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3468%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves47.5

Athletic Club42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves45.8

Athletic Club60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves40.8

Athletic Club65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves52.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves82.5

Athletic Club70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves62.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves62.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.71 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

46.4%Possession5/552.2%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match

45.9%Possession10/1047.9%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match

4.2 cards/matchCards5/43 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches

1.18 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.18 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲1.47 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots34/34▲13.5 shots/match

3.94 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲4.47 shots/match

49.7%Possession34/3449.2%

5.03 corners/matchCorners34/345.59 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCards29/282.54 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

1.35 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.82 goals/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.88 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots17/1712.6 shots/match

4.18 shots/matchShots on target17/174.12 shots/match

50.5%Possession17/1749%

5.94 corners/matchCorners17/175.18 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards14/132.85 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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