La Liga · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

WDDLW
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaBarcelona
Shots9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.91 xG/match1.2 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/matchShotsOsasuna · Barcelona19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match19.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match8.94 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.2%PossessionOsasuna · Barcelona68.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession46.2%68.9%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
0Draws
1Barcelona
BarcelonaOsasuna · La Liga20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11 · 2 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/342.62 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/340.91 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/72 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.1 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3419.1 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/348.94 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/346.97 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/343.53 shots/match
46.2%Possessionseason · 34/3468.9%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/347.06 corners/match
4.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/344.21 corners/match
2.72 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/281.71 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/349.38 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3441%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna37.5
Barcelona95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna52.5
Barcelona94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna47.5
Barcelona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna75
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna35
Barcelona72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.86 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots5/515.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
51.6%Possession5/570%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
Cards2/1
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals7/72 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots10/1015.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/106 shots/match
49.8%Possession10/1068.9%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/42 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored34/342.62 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed34/340.91 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals7/72 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots34/3419.1 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target34/346.97 shots/match
46.2%Possession34/3468.9%
3.5 corners/matchCorners34/347.06 corners/match
2.72 cards/matchCards29/281.71 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls34/349.38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored17/172.18 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.29 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.75 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots17/1719.1 shots/match
5.12 shots/matchShots on target17/176.59 shots/match
47.7%Possession17/1769.1%
4 corners/matchCorners17/176.76 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/152.33 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls17/179.35 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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