La Liga · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap
51Full-time recap

Levante

WLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealLevante
Shots20 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.22 xG/match0.75 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/matchShotsVillarreal · Levante11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealLevanteBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Villarreal
0Draws
0Levante
LevanteVillarreal · La Liga01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 0 · 4 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.12 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.62 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.35 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.3 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3411.6 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3415.9 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/343.47 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/345.18 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 34/3442.7%
3.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/343.85 corners/match
4.91 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/346.18 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/302.43 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3412.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3424%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3465%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal17.5
Levante12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal69.2
Levante33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal67.5
Levante5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal82.5
Levante67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal47.5
Levante50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal27.5
Levante12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal46.2
Levante31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.28 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/548.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/2
11 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.35 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots10/1013.7 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
42%Possession10/1043.3%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/62.5 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.12 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.62 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.35 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots34/3411.6 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target34/343.47 shots/match
43.8%Possession34/3442.7%
3.97 corners/matchCorners34/343.85 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards27/302.43 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
2.41 goals/matchGoals scored17/171 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.71 goals/match
2.48 xG/matchExpected goals3/40.81 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots17/179.82 shots/match
5.82 shots/matchShots on target17/173.29 shots/match
47.4%Possession17/1741.5%
5.35 corners/matchCorners17/173 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards14/152.4 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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