La Liga · 2025Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap

Villarreal

DWLWD

2–1Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

DLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	Celta Vigo
Shots	13 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.72 xG/match	2.08 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	7 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal, Celta Vigo. A second useful context is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal, Celta Vigo.

2.98 days▲Rest daysVillarreal · Celta Vigo3.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Villarreal	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Rest days	2.98 days	3.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	12 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Villarreal

1Draws

0Celta Vigo

31 Aug 2025Celta Vigo — Villarreal · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 3 · 4 too close

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/331.36 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.3 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.3 xG/match

1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.45 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 33/3310.5 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲11.9 shots/match

4.48 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 33/334.15 shots/match

3.64 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/334.09 shots/match

43.5%Possessionseason · 33/3351.1%

3.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334 corners/match

4.97 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲4.55 corners/match

2.44 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲1.89 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3311.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3324%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3382%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal17.5

Celta Vigo67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal68.3

Celta Vigo49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal66.7

Celta Vigo63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal67.5

Celta Vigo12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal47.5

Celta Vigo20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal20

Celta Vigo35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal43.8

Celta Vigo36.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.45 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match

41.8%Possession5/554.8%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.3 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match

40.8%Possession10/1051.6%

3.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scored33/331.36 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.3 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.3 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots33/3310.5 shots/match

4.48 shots/match▲Shots on target33/334.15 shots/match

43.5%Possession33/3351.1%

3.88 corners/matchCorners33/334 corners/match

2.44 cards/matchCards27/271.89 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored16/171.29 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.12 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.27 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots16/179.29 shots/match

5.69 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.94 shots/match

47.1%Possession16/1748.9%

5.25 corners/matchCorners16/173.41 corners/match

1.64 cards/matchCards14/132 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Villarreal have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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