La Liga · 2025Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 2–1.

Shots
139
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.891.98
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Celta Vigo): shots 13–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.89–1.98, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal, Celta Vigo.

2.98 days ▲Rest daysVillarreal · Celta Vigo3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVillarrealCelta VigoBaseline
Rest days2.98 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsVillarreal 13 shots, Celta Vigo 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVillarreal 4 shots, Celta Vigo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.89 xG1.98 xGVillarreal 1.89 xG, Celta Vigo 1.98 xG
  • Possession47%53%Villarreal 47%, Celta Vigo 53%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersVillarreal 7 corners, Celta Vigo 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsVillarreal 13 fouls, Celta Vigo 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsVillarreal 3 cards, Celta Vigo 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafa Marín · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Villarreal · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 32′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 29′ · 0.11 xG · goalSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 44′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 13′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 79′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 2′ · 0.82 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 73′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.82 xG. Celta Vigo: 9 shots, 3 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 2′Nicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 29′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.82 xG · Celta Vigo 2.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Villarreal
1Draws
2Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Villarreal · La Liga3–0
Villarreal — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–3
Celta Vigo — Villarreal · La Liga3–2
Villarreal — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal33 matchesCelta Vigo33 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.36 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.3 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.35 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots33/3310.5 shots/match
4.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/334.15 shots/match
43.5%Possession33/33● 51.1%
3.88 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards27/271.89 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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