PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo 1–2 Elche · La Liga

1–2Historical match

Elche

LWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Elche won 1–2.

Shots
124
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.990.4
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Elche beat Oviedo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Oviedo – Elche): shots 12–4, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.99–0.4, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo, Elche.

2.78 days ▲Rest daysOviedo · Elche3.89 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOviedoElcheBaseline
Rest days2.78 days3.89 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Elche have a visible away split

strong

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.13 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots4 shotsReal Oviedo 12 shots, Elche 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsReal Oviedo 3 shots, Elche 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.4 xGReal Oviedo 0.99 xG, Elche 0.4 xG
  • Possession60%40%Real Oviedo 60%, Elche 40%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerReal Oviedo 6 corners, Elche 1 corner
  • Fouls21 fouls14 foulsReal Oviedo 21 fouls, Elche 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsReal Oviedo 2 cards, Elche 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Bigas · Elche · 6′ · 0.01 xG · goalDavid Affengruber · Elche · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Fonseca · Oviedo · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetThiago Fernández · Oviedo · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo Villar · Elche · 16′ · 0.15 xG · goalIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 24′ · 0.24 xG · on targetIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 76′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oviedo: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG. Elche: 4 shots, 4 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ilyas Chaira · Oviedo · 76′Pedro Bigas · Elche · 6′Gonzalo Villar · Elche · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oviedo 1.13 xG · Elche 0.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Oviedo
1Draws
2Elche
Elche — Real Oviedo · La Liga1–0
Real Oviedo — Elche · Segunda División1–1
Elche — Real Oviedo · Segunda División4–0
Elche — Real Oviedo · Segunda División0–2
Real Oviedo — Elche · Segunda División3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Oviedo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Elche in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Oviedo33 matchesElche33 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.52 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.16 xG/match
9.94 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 10.8 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 3.94 shots/match
45.8%Possession33/33● 57.6%
3.94 corners/match ●Corners33/333.91 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards28/302.17 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal OviedoElche
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Oviedo — Elche
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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