PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche 3–2 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

Elche

LLWLW
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Elche won 3–2.

Shots
146
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.781.01
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Elche beat Atletico Madrid 3–2. Recorded in this match (Elche – Atletico Madrid): shots 14–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.78–1.01, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atletico Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsElche · Atletico Madrid13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheAtletico MadridBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsElche 14 shots, Atlético Madrid 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsElche 6 shots, Atlético Madrid 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.78 xG1.01 xGElche 2.78 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.01 xG
  • Possession72%28%Elche 72%, Atlético Madrid 28%
  • Corners13 corners3 cornersElche 13 corners, Atlético Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsElche 11 fouls, Atlético Madrid 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsElche 2 cards, Atlético Madrid 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gonzalo Villar · Elche · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGermán Valera · Elche · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Cepeda · Elche · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleix Febas · Elche · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo Villar · Elche · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atletico Madrid · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atletico Madrid · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid Affengruber · Elche · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 2′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 53′ · 0.24 xG · on targetDavid Affengruber · Elche · 18′ · 0.29 xG · goalAndré Silva · Elche · 73′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAndré Silva · Elche · 75′ · 0.32 xG · goalÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 80′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 10′ · 0.40 xG · goalNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 34′ · 0.44 xG · goalAndré Silva · Elche · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Elche: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.75 xG. Atletico Madrid: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′David Affengruber · Elche · 18′André Silva · Elche · 33′André Silva · Elche · 75′Nicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 10′Nicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Elche 2.75 xG · Atletico Madrid 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Elche
1Draws
3Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Elche · La Liga1–1
Elche — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Elche · La Liga2–0
Elche — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–2
Atlético Madrid — Elche · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Elche favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Elche32 matchesAtlético Madrid32 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.66 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.51 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.28 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession32/3254%
4 corners/matchCorners32/32● 6.38 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards29/312.16 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsElcheAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headElche — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required