La Liga · 2025Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

DWLWW

1–1Full-time recap

Villarreal

WDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Oviedo	Villarreal
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.88 xG/match	1.33 xG/match▲
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	7 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.78 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.47 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.47 shots/match	12 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Oviedo

0Draws

1Villarreal

15 Aug 2025Villarreal — Oviedo · La Liga2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 11 · 2 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/32▲1.78 goals/match

1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.16 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/5▲1.42 xG/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/5▲0.79 xG/match

9.91 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/32▲12 shots/match

15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/32▲12.8 shots/match

3.31 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/32▲4.5 shots/match

5.72 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲3.66 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 32/3243.4%

3.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.78 corners/match

5.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/32▲4.97 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲2.44 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3212.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3225%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/32▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo27.5

Villarreal17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo7.5

Villarreal67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo12.5

Villarreal67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo22.5

Villarreal67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo65

Villarreal50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo20

Villarreal12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo23.1

Villarreal42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

52.8%Possession5/542.8%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.42 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.6 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.4 shots/match

48.4%Possession10/1041.7%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

0.78 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲1.78 goals/match

1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲1.16 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.42 xG/match

9.91 shots/matchShots32/32▲12 shots/match

3.31 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲4.5 shots/match

45.3%Possession32/3243.4%

3.88 corners/matchCorners32/323.78 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCards27/272.44 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲1.35 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.41 goals/match

0.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲0.9 xG/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots16/179.47 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target16/173.35 shots/match

47.8%Possession16/1740.2%

4.75 corners/matchCorners16/172.59 corners/match

2.36 cards/matchCards14/133.31 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1712.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

Villarreal have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match