La Liga · 2025Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

DDWLW
20Full-time recap

Sevilla

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteSevilla
Shots8 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.5 xG/match0.27 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Levante's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Levante's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionLevante · Sevilla52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLevanteSevillaBaseline
Possession42.3%52.1%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Levante
0Draws
0Sevilla
SevillaLevante · La Liga03

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5 · 3 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/321.22 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.66 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/50.78 xG/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.61 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3211.1 shots/match
16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3210.7 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/323.47 shots/match
5.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/324.34 shots/match
42.3%Possessionseason · 32/3252.1%
3.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/325 corners/match
6.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.56 corners/match
2.41 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/283.04 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3214.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3216%
66%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante12.5
Sevilla72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante36.7
Sevilla35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante5.8
Sevilla40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante72.5
Sevilla17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante47.5
Sevilla90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante20
Sevilla62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante33.8
Sevilla50.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.78 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/59.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/51.6 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/543.4%
5 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards2/1
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.78 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots10/109.5 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/102.2 shots/match
44.2%Possession10/1046%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards7/63.17 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.22 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.66 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.78 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots32/3211.1 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target32/323.47 shots/match
42.3%Possession32/3252.1%
3.88 corners/matchCorners32/325 corners/match
2.41 cards/matchCards29/283.04 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3214.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.13 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.88 goals/match
2.07 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.58 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots17/1611.2 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target17/163.31 shots/match
43.8%Possession17/1651.8%
4.71 corners/matchCorners17/165.25 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards15/142.93 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1614.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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