La Liga · 2025Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

LWDDL

2–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Sevilla
Shots	15 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.44 xG/match▲	0.43 xG/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sevilla. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sevilla.

4.98 days▲Rest daysOsasuna · Sevilla2.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Osasuna	Sevilla	Baseline
Rest days	4.98 days	2.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna

0Draws

1Sevilla

8 Nov 2025Sevilla — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 2 · 6 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.21 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.67 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.72 xG/match

0.93 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.59 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3311 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲10.8 shots/match

3.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 33/333.42 shots/match

4.42 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.42 shots/match

46.7%Possessionseason · 33/3351.7%

3.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.97 corners/match

4.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.55 corners/match

2.72 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 29/283.04 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3314.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3315%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲76%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna39.2

Sevilla34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna51.7

Sevilla40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna47.5

Sevilla17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna75

Sevilla90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5

Sevilla57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna35

Sevilla48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.7 xG/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/51.2 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/543.4%

4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.72 xG/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots10/109.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.1 shots/match

50.4%Possession10/1044.8%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

3.33 cards/matchCards6/53.2 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches

1.18 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.21 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.67 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.72 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots33/3311 shots/match

3.82 shots/match▲Shots on target33/333.42 shots/match

46.7%Possession33/3351.7%

3.52 corners/matchCorners33/334.97 corners/match

2.72 cards/matchCards29/283.04 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored16/171.12 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.88 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals3/40.55 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots16/1711 shots/match

5.19 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.24 shots/match

48.8%Possession16/1751.1%

4.06 corners/matchCorners16/175.18 corners/match

2.38 cards/matchCards13/142.93 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1714 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.98 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Osasuna have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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