PitchMath
La Liga · 2025San Mamés

Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Osasuna

DLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 1–0.

Shots
78
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.541.21
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Osasuna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Osasuna): shots 7–8, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.54–1.21, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Osasuna11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubOsasunaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.66 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots8 shotsAthletic Club 7 shots, Osasuna 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAthletic Club 3 shots, Osasuna 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG1.21 xGAthletic Club 0.54 xG, Osasuna 1.21 xG
  • Possession35%65%Athletic Club 35%, Osasuna 65%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAthletic Club 5 corners, Osasuna 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsAthletic Club 12 fouls, Osasuna 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsAthletic Club 3 cards, Osasuna 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Athletic Club · 69′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRaúl Moro · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 77′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFlavien Boyomo · Osasuna · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.25 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 57′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.56 xG. Osasuna: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.56 xG · Osasuna 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Athletic Club
3Draws
0Osasuna
Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga0–0
Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2
Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga2–2
Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club32 matchesOsasuna32 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.18 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.3 shots/match
4.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.72 shots/match
49.2% ●Possession32/3246.3%
5.63 corners/match ●Corners32/323.53 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards28/292.72 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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