La Liga · 2025Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

Osasuna

DLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubOsasuna
Shots7 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.56 xG/match1.12 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.94 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.94 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/matchShotsAthletic Club · Osasuna11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubOsasunaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.66 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Athletic Club
1Draws
0Osasuna
OsasunaAthletic Club · La Liga11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 5 · 3 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/321.16 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.22 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.22 xG/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.03 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3211.3 shots/match
9.66 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3212.5 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/323.72 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/324.5 shots/match
49.3%Possessionseason · 32/3246.3%
5.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.5 corners/match
3.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.66 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.72 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3222%
66%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3266%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club42.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club55.8
Osasuna35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club65
Osasuna50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club67.5
Osasuna47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club70
Osasuna77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5
Osasuna2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club75
Osasuna35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/553.2%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards1/2
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
48.4%Possession10/1048.6%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards6/73.14 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.16 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.22 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots32/3211.3 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target32/323.72 shots/match
49.3%Possession32/3246.3%
5.63 corners/matchCorners32/323.5 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards28/292.72 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/170.65 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.29 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.96 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots17/178.94 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target17/172.53 shots/match
49.4%Possession17/1744.8%
6 corners/matchCorners17/173 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards15/163 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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