PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
3–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoReal Sociedad
Shots24 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Expected goals2.22 xG/match▲1.79 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards6 cards/match4 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano, Real Sociedad. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano, Real Sociedad.

2.75 days▲Rest daysRayo Vallecano · Real Sociedad3.75 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRayo VallecanoReal SociedadBaseline
Rest days2.75 days3.75 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.03 corners/match▲CornersRayo Vallecano · Real Sociedad5.82 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoReal SociedadBaseline
Corners6.03 corners/match5.82 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
0Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 5 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲1.58 goals/match
1.24 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.58 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.68 xG/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.28 xG/match
14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 33/3312.9 shots/match
12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3313.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.85 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.21 shots/match
53.8%Possessionseason · 33/3350.9%
6.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/335.82 corners/match
5.03 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲4.67 corners/match
3.03 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/29▲2.17 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3314.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/339%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano77.5
Real Sociedad62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano57.5
Real Sociedad76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano63.3
Real Sociedad30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano62.5
Real Sociedad57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano75
Real Sociedad57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Real Sociedad77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano76.2
Real Sociedad78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.62 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
53%Possession5/557.2%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
13 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.68 xG/match
15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.8 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
53.5%Possession10/1054.9%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match
2.86 cards/matchCards7/62 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲1.58 goals/match
1.24 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.58 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.68 xG/match
14 shots/match▲Shots33/3312.9 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target33/334.85 shots/match
53.8%Possession33/3350.9%
6.03 corners/matchCorners33/335.82 corners/match
3.03 cards/matchCards30/292.17 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.25 goals/match
0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/161.69 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals4/2—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots17/1612.6 shots/match
5.76 shots/match▲Shots on target17/164.69 shots/match
54.8%Possession17/1650.4%
6.82 corners/matchCorners17/165.44 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards16/152.33 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1614.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.75 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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