La Liga · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 14:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

DLLWL

1–0Full-time recap

Valencia

WWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Elche	Valencia
Shots	8 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.57 xG/match	2.33 xG/match▲
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	5 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.2 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8%▲PossessionElche · Valencia48.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Elche	Valencia	Baseline
Possession	57.8%	48.7%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Elche

1Draws

0Valencia

10 Jan 2026Valencia — Elche · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Valencia in 4 · 7 too close

1.26 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/311.1 goals/match

1.52 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.48 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.34 xG/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.71 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲11.7 shots/match

14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲11.6 shots/match

3.87 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/313.19 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲4.1 shots/match

57.8%Possessionseason · 31/3148.7%

3.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/315.32 corners/match

4.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.48 corners/match

2.21 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/272.15 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3112.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲26%

84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3174%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche41.7

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche25.8

Valencia58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche47.5

Valencia35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche12.5

Valencia67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche33.1

Valencia40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.34 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

52.2%Possession5/548.8%

4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.34 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.5 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match

55.5%Possession10/1048.9%

4 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match

2.71 cards/matchCards7/62.5 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.26 goals/match▲Goals scored31/311.1 goals/match

1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.48 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.34 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots31/31▲11.7 shots/match

3.87 shots/match▲Shots on target31/313.19 shots/match

57.8%Possession31/3148.7%

3.68 corners/matchCorners31/315.32 corners/match

2.21 cards/matchCards28/272.15 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.81 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.51 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots16/169.75 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.88 shots/match

59.4%Possession16/1646.5%

4.19 corners/matchCorners16/164.25 corners/match

1.93 cards/matchCards14/132.31 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

Elche have a visible home split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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