La Liga · 2025Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche 1–0 Valencia · La Liga

Elche

DLLWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Elche won 1–0.

Shots
822
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.592.54
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Elche beat Valencia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Elche – Valencia): shots 8–22, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.59–2.54, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.7% ●PossessionElche · Valencia48.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricElcheValenciaBaseline
Possession57.7%48.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots22 shotsElche 8 shots, Valencia 22 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsElche 2 shots, Valencia 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG2.54 xGElche 0.59 xG, Valencia 2.54 xG
  • Possession57%43%Elche 57%, Valencia 43%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersElche 5 corners, Valencia 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsElche 15 fouls, Valencia 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardElche 1 card, Valencia 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Buba Sangare · Elche · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 60′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDiego López · Valencia · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLucas Cepeda · Elche · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Valencia · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRafa Mir · Elche · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGermán Valera · Elche · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLéo Pétrot · Elche · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 58′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 69′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 76′ · 0.13 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 85′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 49′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedLucas Cepeda · Elche · 73′ · 0.31 xG · goalLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 16′ · 0.85 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Elche: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG. Valencia: 22 shots, 8 on target, 2.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Lucas Cepeda · Elche · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Elche 0.60 xG · Valencia 2.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Elche
2Draws
3Valencia
Valencia — Elche · La Liga1–1
Elche — Valencia · La Liga0–2
Valencia — Elche · La Liga2–2
Elche — Valencia · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Elche · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Elche favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Elche31 matchesValencia31 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.1 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.48 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.31 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.19 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession31/3148.8%
3.71 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.32 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards28/272.15 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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