La Liga · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeCamp NouFull-time recap
41Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaEspanyol
Shots20 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.81 xG/match1.17 xG/match
Possession77%23%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/matchShotsBarcelona · Espanyol12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaEspanyolBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.19 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.9%PossessionBarcelona · Espanyol41.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaEspanyolBaseline
Possession68.9%41.9%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Barcelona
0Draws
0Espanyol
EspanyolBarcelona · La Liga02

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 4 too close

2.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.19 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.55 goals/match
2.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.24 xG/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.66 xG/match
19.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3112.7 shots/match
9.19 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3113.3 shots/match
7.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.1 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/315.06 shots/match
68.9%Possessionseason · 31/3141.9%
7.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.68 corners/match
4.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.55 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/272.33 cards/match
9.29 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3113.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
39%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3126%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3181%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Espanyol12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Espanyol52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona90.8
Espanyol22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona82.5
Espanyol92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona2.5
Espanyol55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5
Espanyol52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona73.8
Espanyol58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
2.44 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.24 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
67.2%Possession5/541.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
Cards2/1
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.3 goals/match
2.44 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.24 xG/match
19.9 shots/matchShots10/1011.6 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
69.1%Possession10/1042.1%
7.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/62.67 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.19 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.55 goals/match
2.44 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.24 xG/match
19.7 shots/matchShots31/3112.7 shots/match
7.29 shots/matchShots on target31/314.1 shots/match
68.9%Possession31/3141.9%
7.26 corners/matchCorners31/314.68 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards28/272.33 cards/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
3.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.19 goals/match
0.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
2.51 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.89 xG/match
19.6 shots/matchShots16/1612.1 shots/match
7.63 shots/matchShots on target16/163.38 shots/match
69.1%Possession16/1638.5%
7.5 corners/matchCorners16/164.19 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards13/142.29 cards/match
9.19 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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