La Liga · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

WLWLW

3–3Full-time recap

Alaves

LLDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Alaves
Shots	12 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.94 xG/match	1.01 xG/match▲
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	8 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.3 fouls/match▲FoulsReal Sociedad · Alaves15.3 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Alaves	Baseline
Fouls	14.3 fouls/match	15.3 fouls/match	12.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Sociedad

0Draws

1Alaves

4 Feb 2026Alaves — Real Sociedad · Copa del Rey2–3

6 Dec 2025Alaves — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 0 · 9 too close

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/311.13 goals/match

1.55 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.48 goals/match

1.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.25 xG/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.15 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/3112.1 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3112.6 shots/match

4.77 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/313.9 shots/match

4.19 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.13 shots/match

50.7%Possessionseason · 31/3150%

5.87 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.9 corners/match

4.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.77 corners/match

2.11 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/292.59 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3115.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3110%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3168%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad57.5

Alaves52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad74.2

Alaves42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad35.8

Alaves45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad62.5

Alaves42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad51.2

Alaves85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5

Alaves57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad76.2

Alaves62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.25 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/545%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards2/34 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match

1.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.25 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match

52.1%Possession10/1050.5%

5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

1.57 cards/matchCards7/83 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scored31/311.13 goals/match

1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.48 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.25 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots31/3112.1 shots/match

4.77 shots/match▲Shots on target31/313.9 shots/match

50.7%Possession31/3150%

5.87 corners/matchCorners31/314.9 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards28/292.59 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3115.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match

1.88 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

13.3 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.2 shots/match

5.06 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.63 shots/match

50.4%Possession16/1649.5%

6.19 corners/matchCorners16/164 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards14/153 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1615.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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