La Liga · 2025Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

DLLDW

2–2Full-time recap

Osasuna

WLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Alaves	Osasuna
Shots	18 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.04 xG/match▲	1.3 xG/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	7 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.07 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Alaves

0Draws

1Osasuna

20 Dec 2025Osasuna — Alaves · La Liga3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 3 · 7 too close

1.07 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.2 goals/match

1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.23 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.22 xG/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.41 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/3011.4 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3012.8 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.73 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/304.6 shots/match

50.2%Possessionseason · 30/3045.5%

4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/303.43 corners/match

4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/304.7 corners/match

2.61 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/282.75 cards/match

15.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3013.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲23%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3067%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves52.5

Osasuna32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves37.5

Osasuna38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves51.7

Osasuna44.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves42.5

Osasuna52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves87.5

Osasuna78.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves57.5

Osasuna7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves61.9

Osasuna37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.22 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

46%Possession5/550.6%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

5.67 cards/matchCards3/34 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.22 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.5 shots/match

5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

50.4%Possession10/1045.1%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match

2.88 cards/matchCards8/83 cards/match

15.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.07 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.2 goals/match

1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.23 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.22 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots30/3011.4 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.73 shots/match

50.2%Possession30/3045.5%

4.9 corners/matchCorners30/303.43 corners/match

2.61 cards/matchCards28/282.75 cards/match

15.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 16 matches

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/160.69 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/161.31 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13 shots/match▲Shots15/169 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target15/162.5 shots/match

50.6%Possession15/1643.6%

5.87 corners/matchCorners15/162.94 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards14/153.07 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1613.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

Osasuna have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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