La Liga · 2025Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

LLDWL

1–0Full-time recap

Sevilla

WDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Oviedo	Sevilla
Shots	7 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	0.61 xG/match	0.65 xG/match▲
Possession	70%	30%
Corners	5 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	5 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Oviedo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.7 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Oviedo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Oviedo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.77 shots/match▲ShotsOviedo · Sevilla11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Oviedo	Sevilla	Baseline
Shots	9.77 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	15.5 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Oviedo

0Draws

1Sevilla

14 Dec 2025Sevilla — Oviedo · La Liga4–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 7 · 5 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.23 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.67 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/30.61 xG/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.93 xG/match

9.77 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲11.2 shots/match

15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/30▲10.7 shots/match

3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲3.63 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲4.47 shots/match

45.4%Possessionseason · 30/3052.6%

3.87 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.93 corners/match

6.03 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲4.57 corners/match

2.59 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/283.04 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3014.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3017%

47%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo27.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo7.5

Sevilla37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo10

Sevilla41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo22.5

Sevilla17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo62.5

Sevilla95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo22.5

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo23.8

Sevilla52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

0.92 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.61 xG/match

8.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

52.8%Possession5/545%

2.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards2/32.67 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

0.92 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.61 xG/match

9.9 shots/matchShots10/1010.2 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1048.8%

3.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards7/82.75 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.23 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.67 goals/match

0.92 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.61 xG/match

9.77 shots/matchShots30/30▲11.2 shots/match

3.23 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲3.63 shots/match

45.4%Possession30/3052.6%

3.87 corners/matchCorners30/304.93 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCards27/283.04 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

0.47 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.2 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.87 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10 shots/matchShots15/15▲11.5 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲3.53 shots/match

47.1%Possession15/1551.5%

4.6 corners/matchCorners15/155.2 corners/match

2.36 cards/matchCards14/142.93 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

Oviedo show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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