La Liga · 2025Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

WLDLW

0–3Full-time recap

Oviedo

LDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Oviedo
Shots	9 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	0.91 xG/match	1.71 xG/match▲
Possession	68%	32%
Corners	4 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.77 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

1Draws

0Oviedo

20 Dec 2025Oviedo — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 1 · 4 too close

1.42 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/310.77 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.55 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.08 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.12 xG/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/319.71 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3115.3 shots/match

4.23 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/313.29 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/315.81 shots/match

51.4%Possessionseason · 31/3144.9%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/313.77 corners/match

4.45 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/315.97 corners/match

1.89 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/272.59 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3112.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲29%

84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3148%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo67.5

Oviedo27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo49.2

Oviedo7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo60

Oviedo11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo7.5

Oviedo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo20

Oviedo65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo32.5

Oviedo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo36.2

Oviedo23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.08 xG/match

9 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

53.4%Possession5/549.6%

2.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.08 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

54.3%Possession10/1046%

3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.42 goals/match▲Goals scored31/310.77 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.55 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.08 xG/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots31/319.71 shots/match

4.23 shots/match▲Shots on target31/313.29 shots/match

51.4%Possession31/3144.9%

4 corners/matchCorners31/313.77 corners/match

1.89 cards/matchCards27/272.59 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.06 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162.13 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.31 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots16/169.44 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.38 shots/match

53.4%Possession16/1642.9%

4.63 corners/matchCorners16/163 corners/match

1.79 cards/matchCards14/132.85 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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