PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 0–3 Real Oviedo · La Liga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Oviedo won 0–3.

Shots
98
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.911.71
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oviedo beat Celta Vigo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Oviedo): shots 9–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.91–1.71, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsCelta Vigo 9 shots, Real Oviedo 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Real Oviedo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.71 xGCelta Vigo 0.91 xG, Real Oviedo 1.71 xG
  • Possession68%32%Celta Vigo 68%, Real Oviedo 32%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerCelta Vigo 4 corners, Real Oviedo 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsCelta Vigo 9 fouls, Real Oviedo 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsCelta Vigo 1 card, Real Oviedo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilyas Chaira · Oviedo · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Rueda · Celta Vigo · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 45′ · 0.07 xG · goalAndrés Antañón · Celta Vigo · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrés Antañón · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNacho Vidal · Oviedo · 4′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 15′ · 0.26 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 84′ · 0.26 xG · on targetAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 4′ · 0.27 xG · goalJavi López · Oviedo · 54′ · 0.34 xG · on targetFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 57′ · 0.78 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.93 xG. Oviedo: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alberto Reina · Oviedo · 4′Federico Viñas · Oviedo · 45′Federico Viñas · Oviedo · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.93 xG · Oviedo 1.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celta Vigo
1Draws
0Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo31 matchesReal Oviedo31 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.77 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.55 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.96 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots31/319.71 shots/match
4.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.29 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession31/3144.9%
4 corners/match ●Corners31/313.77 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards27/272.59 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoReal Oviedo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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