PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mallorca won 3–0.

Shots
1217
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.681.95
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mallorca beat Rayo Vallecano 3–0. Recorded in this match (Mallorca – Rayo Vallecano): shots 12–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.68–1.95, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsMallorca · Rayo Vallecano13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match12 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots17 shotsMallorca 12 shots, Rayo Vallecano 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsMallorca 4 shots, Rayo Vallecano 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG1.95 xGMallorca 1.68 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.95 xG
  • Possession45%55%Mallorca 45%, Rayo Vallecano 55%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersMallorca 6 corners, Rayo Vallecano 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsMallorca 13 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsMallorca 1 card, Rayo Vallecano 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Maffeo · Mallorca · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Torre · Mallorca · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Torre · Mallorca · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPablo Maffeo · Mallorca · 43′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPablo Torre · Mallorca · 43′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJan Virgili · Mallorca · 65′ · 0.21 xG · goalAlemão · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 36′ · 0.29 xG · goalRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 47′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 40′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.64 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 36′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 40′Jan Virgili · Mallorca · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 1.64 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Mallorca
2Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga0–0
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mallorca favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mallorca31 matchesRayo Vallecano31 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.94 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.33 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.52 shots/match
44.8%Possession31/31● 53.7%
3.48 corners/matchCorners31/31● 6.03 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards28/292.9 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMallorcaRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headMallorca — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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