PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mallorca won 2–1.

Shots
615
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.221.27
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mallorca beat Real Madrid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Mallorca – Real Madrid): shots 6–15, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.22–1.27, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMallorca · Real Madrid18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaReal MadridBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match18 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionMallorca · Real Madrid● 59.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaReal MadridBaseline
Possession44.8%59.4%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsMallorca 6 shots, Real Madrid 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsMallorca 2 shots, Real Madrid 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.27 xGMallorca 1.22 xG, Real Madrid 1.27 xG
  • Possession36%64%Mallorca 36%, Real Madrid 64%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersMallorca 6 corners, Real Madrid 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsMallorca 16 fouls, Real Madrid 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsMallorca 3 cards, Real Madrid 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Ángel Morán · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 88′ · 0.02 xG · goalJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFranco Mastantuono · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.12 xG · on targetÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.29 xG · on targetManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 35′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 42′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.17 xG. Real Madrid: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Manu Morlanes · Mallorca · 42′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′Éder Militão · Real Madrid · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 1.17 xG · Real Madrid 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Mallorca
1Draws
4Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga2–1
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga2–1
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mallorca favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mallorca30 matchesReal Madrid30 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.15 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 18 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 6.87 shots/match
44.8%Possession30/30● 59.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.33 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards28/282.11 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls30/309.97 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMallorcaReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headMallorca — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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