La Liga · 2025Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

LDLWD

1–1Full-time recap

Real Betis

DLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Real Betis
Shots	11 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match▲	0.34 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	5 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.45 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna

0Draws

1Real Betis

28 Sept 2025Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 7 · 6 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.45 goals/match

1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.23 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.98 xG/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.83 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲14.4 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3112.2 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲4.74 shots/match

4.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲4.26 shots/match

45.7%Possessionseason · 31/3150.8%

3.48 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.48 corners/match

4.65 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/315.23 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/27▲2.04 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3110.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲29%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5

Real Betis62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna36.7

Real Betis77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna45.8

Real Betis54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna52.5

Real Betis82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna80

Real Betis12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna5

Real Betis47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna36.9

Real Betis56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.98 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

50.4%Possession5/560.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.98 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match

46.9%Possession10/1051.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

3.14 cards/matchCards7/62.17 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.19 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.45 goals/match

1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.23 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.98 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots31/31▲14.4 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲4.74 shots/match

45.7%Possession31/3150.8%

3.48 corners/matchCorners31/314.48 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards28/272.04 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 16 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored15/161.19 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/161.38 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.9 shots/match▲Shots15/1613 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164.38 shots/match

48%Possession15/1649.9%

4.07 corners/matchCorners15/164.69 corners/match

2.38 cards/matchCards13/142.07 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls15/169.88 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.81 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

Osasuna have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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