PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 23 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

LDWDL
3–2Full-time recap

Elche

LWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteElche
Shots26 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners9 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

strong

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Elche.

6.29 days▲Rest daysLevante · Elche4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLevanteElcheBaseline
Rest days6.29 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Levante
0Draws
1Elche
Elche — Levante · La Liga2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 9 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/21▲1.38 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/21▲1.38 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/2111 shots/match
17.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/21▲14.4 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/21▲3.76 shots/match
5.65 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/21▲4.76 shots/match
41.1%Possessionseason · 20/2158.9%
3.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/213.52 corners/match
6.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/21▲4.67 corners/match
2.35 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/21▲2.05 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2112.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/21▲24%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/21▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante2.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante33.3
Elche47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante5
Elche27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante67.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante47.5
Elche35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante12.5
Elche17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante27.5
Elche37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
40%Possession5/558.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.6 shots/match
41.8%Possession10/1058.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 21 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored20/21▲1.38 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed20/21▲1.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots20/2111 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target20/21▲3.76 shots/match
41.1%Possession20/2158.9%
3.4 corners/matchCorners20/213.52 corners/match
2.35 cards/matchCards20/212.05 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls20/2112.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101 goals/match
2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots9/108 shots/match
3.44 shots/match▲Shots on target9/102.6 shots/match
40.9%Possession9/1056.5%
4.89 corners/matchCorners9/102.9 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/102.1 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1013 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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