PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Santiago BernabéuFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Levante

LLDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridLevante
Shots26 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession70%30%
Corners8 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Levante10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridLevanteBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4%▲PossessionReal Madrid · Levante41.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridLevanteBaseline
Possession59.4%41.1%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Madrid
0Draws
0Levante
Levante — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 0 · 4 too close

2.15 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/191.11 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/191.68 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/1910.1 shots/match
10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/1917.6 shots/match
7.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/193.21 shots/match
3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/195.79 shots/match
59.4%Possessionseason · 20/1941.1%
6.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/193.11 corners/match
3.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/197.16 corners/match
2.05 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/192.37 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/1912.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/1916%
90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/1968%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5
Levante2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid94.2
Levante25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid92.5
Levante5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid97.5
Levante57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid20
Levante47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid82.5
Levante7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid70
Levante22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
8.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
58%Possession5/543.6%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109.4 shots/match
7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
58.2%Possession10/1041.4%
6.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 19 matches
2.15 goals/match▲Goals scored20/191.11 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/191.68 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.7 shots/match▲Shots20/1910.1 shots/match
7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target20/193.21 shots/match
59.4%Possession20/1941.1%
6.35 corners/matchCorners20/193.11 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards20/192.37 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls20/1912.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/111.18 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/111.27 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1110 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/113.27 shots/match
61%Possession10/1141.3%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/112.18 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/112.27 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1112.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal MadridLevante
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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