PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadi Mallorca Son MoixFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaAthletic Club
Shots17 shots/match21 shots/match▲
Shots on target9 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Possession51%49%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsMallorca · Athletic Club13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match9.95 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mallorca
0Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Mallorca · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 7 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.95 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲13.8 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲9.95 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲4.5 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/20▲4.15 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 20/2049.4%
3.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/205.7 corners/match
6.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲4.15 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/202.45 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2013.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲25%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca22.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca44.2
Athletic Club55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca24.2
Athletic Club64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca42.5
Athletic Club72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca40
Athletic Club66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca12.5
Athletic Club72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca30
Athletic Club70.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/552%
3 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/54 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲15 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match
43.7%Possession10/1047.1%
2.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.95 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲13.8 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲4.5 shots/match
44.6%Possession20/2049.4%
3.35 corners/matchCorners20/205.7 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards20/202.45 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.5 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1047%
2.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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