PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Mallorca · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 2–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.370.72
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Mallorca 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Mallorca): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.37–0.72, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Mallorca10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorcaBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsRayo Vallecano 14 shots, Mallorca 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsRayo Vallecano 5 shots, Mallorca 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.37 xG0.72 xGRayo Vallecano 2.37 xG, Mallorca 0.72 xG
  • Possession53%47%Rayo Vallecano 53%, Mallorca 47%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersRayo Vallecano 6 corners, Mallorca 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsRayo Vallecano 14 fouls, Mallorca 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsRayo Vallecano 1 card, Mallorca 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Martin Valjent · Mallorca · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarash Kumbulla · Mallorca · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Rayo Vallecano · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 44′ · 0.07 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Rayo Vallecano · 34′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 30′ · 0.20 xG · goalNobel Mendy · Rayo Vallecano · 83′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 4′ · 0.77 xG · goalIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.35 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 4′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 42′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 2.35 xG · Mallorca 0.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
2Draws
3Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga0–0
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga2–2
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Mallorca in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano19 matchesMallorca19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.47 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.02 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.3 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.84 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession19/1944.2%
6 corners/match ●Corners19/193.37 corners/match
2.84 cards/matchCards19/192.47 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoMallorca
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Mallorca
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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