PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession53%47%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Mallorca10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorcaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 3 · 4 too close

0.84 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.11 goals/match
1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.47 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/1910.3 shots/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1913.9 shots/match
4.53 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/193.84 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/194.32 shots/match
54.7%Possessionseason · 19/1944.2%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/193.37 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/196.53 corners/match
2.84 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/19▲2.47 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1916%
53%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano52.5
Mallorca39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano60.8
Mallorca30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano62.5
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano85
Mallorca48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano77.5
Mallorca15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano74.4
Mallorca30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
58%Possession5/541%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
4.2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.6 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
56%Possession10/1044.9%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.11 goals/match
1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.47 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots19/1910.3 shots/match
4.53 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.84 shots/match
54.7%Possession19/1944.2%
6 corners/matchCorners19/193.37 corners/match
2.84 cards/matchCards19/192.47 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲1 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots9/1010.2 shots/match
5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/104 shots/match
54.9%Possession9/1043.4%
7.22 corners/matchCorners9/103.9 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards9/102.5 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls9/1011.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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