PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 1–1 Elche · La Liga

1–1Historical match

Elche

LWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia and Elche drew 1–1.

Shots
165
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.960.16
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia and Elche drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Elche): shots 16–5, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.96–0.16, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.22 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.22 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

49%PossessionValencia · Elche● 59.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricValenciaElcheBaseline
Possession49%59.4%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots5 shotsValencia 16 shots, Elche 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotValencia 4 shots, Elche 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.16 xGValencia 1.96 xG, Elche 0.16 xG
  • Possession39%61%Valencia 39%, Elche 61%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersValencia 8 corners, Elche 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsValencia 14 fouls, Elche 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsValencia 2 cards, Elche 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Léo Pétrot · Elche · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Valencia · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdam Boayar · Elche · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLéo Pétrot · Elche · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGrady Diangana · Elche · 75′ · 0.04 xG · goalCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Affengruber · Elche · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuis Rioja · Valencia · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 88′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 45′ · 0.24 xG · on targetAndré Almeida · Valencia · 45′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG. Elche: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Pepelu · Valencia · 87′Grady Diangana · Elche · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.99 xG · Elche 0.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Valencia
1Draws
0Elche
Elche — Valencia · La Liga0–2
Valencia — Elche · La Liga2–2
Elche — Valencia · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Elche · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Elche in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia19 matchesElche19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.12 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots19/1911.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 3.74 shots/match
49%Possession19/19● 59.4%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners19/193.37 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards19/191.95 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaElche
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headValencia — Elche
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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