PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Elche

LWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaElche
Shots16 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession39%61%
Corners8 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.22 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.22 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.9%▲PossessionValencia · Elche59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricValenciaElcheBaseline
Possession48.9%59.3%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 6 · 7 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.32 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.26 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1911.3 shots/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1913.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲3.74 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/194.53 shots/match
48.9%Possessionseason · 19/1959.3%
5.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/193.37 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.32 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/191.95 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1912.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲26%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia42.5
Elche92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia32.5
Elche49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia39.2
Elche37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia47.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia32.5
Elche38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia67.5
Elche17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia42.5
Elche41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
54.4%Possession5/560.2%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.6 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.5 shots/match
51%Possession10/1059.8%
6 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.32 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.26 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShots19/1911.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲3.74 shots/match
48.9%Possession19/1959.3%
5.47 corners/matchCorners19/193.37 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards19/191.95 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/90.89 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots10/98.22 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/92.56 shots/match
52.9%Possession10/956.2%
6.9 corners/matchCorners10/93.11 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/92 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/913 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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