La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 4–1 Valencia · La Liga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 4–1.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.71.94
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Valencia 4–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Valencia): shots 12–16, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.7–1.94, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsCelta Vigo 12 shots, Valencia 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Valencia 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.7 xG1.94 xGCelta Vigo 2.7 xG, Valencia 1.94 xG
  • Possession40%60%Celta Vigo 40%, Valencia 60%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCelta Vigo 2 corners, Valencia 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsCelta Vigo 10 fouls, Valencia 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCelta Vigo 1 card, Valencia 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pepelu · Valencia · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndré Almeida · Valencia · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Aidoo · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalPepelu · Valencia · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Valencia · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 37′ · 0.09 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 70′ · 0.09 xG · goalThierry Correia · Valencia · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Aidoo · Celta Vigo · 18′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 86′ · 0.33 xG · on targetJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.58 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.76 xG · goalPepelu · Valencia · 7′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 12 shots, 6 on target, 2.67 xG. Valencia: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 33′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 59′Jones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 83′Hugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 90′Pepelu · Valencia · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.67 xG · Valencia 1.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
2Draws
2Valencia
Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga2–2
Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0
Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo18 matchesValencia18 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.94 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.14 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 11.4 shots/match
3.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/182.94 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession18/1849.6%
3.94 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.33 corners/match
1.94 cards/matchCards18/182 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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