PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla 0–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

Sevilla

LDWLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 0–1.

Shots
79
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.271.63
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Celta Vigo): shots 7–9, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.27–1.63, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsSevilla 7 shots, Celta Vigo 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsSevilla 2 shots, Celta Vigo 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.27 xG1.63 xGSevilla 0.27 xG, Celta Vigo 1.63 xG
  • Possession59%41%Sevilla 59%, Celta Vigo 41%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerSevilla 6 corners, Celta Vigo 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsSevilla 16 fouls, Celta Vigo 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsSevilla 3 cards, Celta Vigo 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Djibril Sow · Sevilla · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBatista Mendy · Sevilla · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdnan Januzaj · Sevilla · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBatista Mendy · Sevilla · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 15′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMiguel Sierra · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.26 xG · on targetMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.29 xG. Celta Vigo: 9 shots, 7 on target, 1.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.29 xG · Celta Vigo 1.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sevilla
2Draws
2Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga3–2
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla19 matchesCelta Vigo19 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.32 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.28 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.3 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 3.95 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession19/1949.4%
5.16 corners/match ●Corners19/193.79 corners/match
3.32 cards/matchCards19/192 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSevilla — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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