PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

WLWLD
2–2Full-time recap

Sevilla

DWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheSevilla
Shots10 shots/match25 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession50%50%
Corners9 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Elche
1Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Elche · La Liga2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 1 · 8 too close

1.35 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/201.3 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/2011.7 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲10.7 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/203.85 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/204.75 shots/match
58.9%Possessionseason · 20/2054.5%
3.65 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/205.25 corners/match
4.45 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/204.95 corners/match
2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/203.15 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2015.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2020%
85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2075%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Sevilla77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche47.5
Sevilla51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche31.7
Sevilla35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Sevilla22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche35
Sevilla95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche17.5
Sevilla62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche37.5
Sevilla62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
58.6%Possession5/555.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.9 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match
58%Possession10/1056%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.3 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots20/2011.7 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target20/203.85 shots/match
58.9%Possession20/2054.5%
3.65 corners/matchCorners20/205.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards20/203.15 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2015.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches
1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/101.2 goals/match
0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots11/1011.9 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target11/103.7 shots/match
61%Possession11/1051.2%
4.09 corners/matchCorners11/105.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards11/103.2 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1014.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheSevilla
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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