PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

DLWLW
1–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

DWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaOsasuna
Shots8 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession46%54%
Corners2 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 5 · 6 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/190.95 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.16 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.47 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲10.6 shots/match
16.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲12.9 shots/match
3.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/193.42 shots/match
5.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/194.95 shots/match
47.4%Possessionseason · 19/1945.5%
3.89 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/193.05 corners/match
5.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.63 corners/match
2.47 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.68 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1912.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲26%
68%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1958%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona37.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona22.5
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona7.5
Osasuna39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona7.5
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona40
Osasuna68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona22.5
Osasuna2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona18.8
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/542.2%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.1 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match
50.6%Possession10/1046.6%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.95 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.16 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.47 shots/matchShots19/19▲10.6 shots/match
3.63 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.42 shots/match
47.4%Possession19/1945.5%
3.89 corners/matchCorners19/193.05 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards19/192.68 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/match▲Shots10/108.8 shots/match
3.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.1 shots/match
49.7%Possession10/1043%
5 corners/matchCorners10/102.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.9 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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