PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

WLWDL
3–2Full-time recap

Oviedo

DLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaOviedo
Shots16 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.55 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
1Draws
0Oviedo
Oviedo — Osasuna · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 0 · 6 too close

1.05 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.55 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.55 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/209.7 shots/match
13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2015.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203 shots/match
4.95 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/206.35 shots/match
45.8%Possessionseason · 20/2045.3%
3.05 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204.15 corners/match
4.7 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/205.75 corners/match
2.65 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/202.75 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2012.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2025%
60%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2035%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Oviedo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna30.8
Oviedo8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna37.5
Oviedo12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna37.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna70
Oviedo67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5
Oviedo37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna30
Oviedo28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/546.8%
3 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
45.6%Possession10/1048.8%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.05 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.55 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.55 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shots20/209.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203 shots/match
45.8%Possession20/2045.3%
3.05 corners/matchCorners20/204.15 corners/match
2.65 cards/matchCards20/202.75 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109.3 shots/match
4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match
48.5%Possession10/1043.7%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/103.2 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.19 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaOviedo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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