La Liga · 2025Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna 3–2 Real Oviedo · La Liga

Osasuna

WLWDL
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 3–2.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.371.34
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Oviedo 3–2. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Oviedo): shots 16–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.37–1.34, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.55 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsOsasuna 16 shots, Real Oviedo 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsOsasuna 5 shots, Real Oviedo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.34 xGOsasuna 1.37 xG, Real Oviedo 1.34 xG
  • Possession51%49%Osasuna 51%, Real Oviedo 49%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersOsasuna 3 corners, Real Oviedo 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsOsasuna 14 fouls, Real Oviedo 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsOsasuna 1 card, Real Oviedo 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Viñas · Oviedo · 40′ · 0.01 xG · goalIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdel Rahim · Oviedo · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOier Luengo · Oviedo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNicolas Fonseca · Oviedo · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuka Ilić · Oviedo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ahijado · Oviedo · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 5′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 57′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 68′ · 0.10 xG · goalAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 37′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 75′ · 0.23 xG · goalVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.24 xG · goalFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 53′ · 0.26 xG · on targetFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 1′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG. Oviedo: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 45′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 75′Víctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′Federico Viñas · Oviedo · 40′Alberto Reina · Oviedo · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.37 xG · Oviedo 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Osasuna
1Draws
0Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo — Osasuna · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna20 matchesReal Oviedo20 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.55 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.55 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/200.92 xG/match
10.9 shots/match ▲Shots20/209.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession20/2045.3%
3.05 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.15 corners/match
2.65 cards/matchCards20/202.75 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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